Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.977330 3.301776 3.652561 4.060937 4.524453 5.035539 5.643550
2025-04-27 2.543929 2.987558 3.500938 4.142595 4.928162 5.865035 7.076561
2025-05-04 2.270021 2.780307 3.401299 4.220211 5.282967 6.631053 8.495468
2025-05-11 2.061003 2.610078 3.305761 4.264067 5.569082 7.312516 9.866507
2025-05-18 1.894744 2.467932 3.219373 4.293922 5.819745 7.953401 11.244429
2025-05-25 1.707963 2.276253 3.042416 4.172504 5.834454 8.250289 12.145773
2025-06-01 1.575261 2.143831 2.930309 4.124139 5.938358 8.673957 13.276824
2025-06-08 1.468310 2.036881 2.842111 4.097304 6.064096 9.134093 14.514039
2025-06-15 1.421701 2.011377 2.867046 4.238231 6.456976 10.049635 16.626743
2025-06-22 1.339581 1.926473 2.795582 4.221110 6.591680 10.552928 18.085485
2025-06-29 1.260044 1.839225 2.712944 4.176973 6.673848 10.970454 19.438625
2025-07-06 1.149976 1.697817 2.536119 3.964219 6.448220 10.822321 19.691449
2025-07-13 1.096356 1.642345 2.493166 3.973723 6.615365 11.408919 21.498682
2025-07-20 1.061637 1.614395 2.492183 4.053925 6.916025 12.277836 24.025697
2025-07-27 1.028760 1.586917 2.489402 4.129687 7.214691 13.176965 26.769300
2025-08-03 0.992364 1.551055 2.469581 4.172450 7.453890 13.985244 29.450572
2025-08-10 0.956420 1.513504 2.443902 4.201551 7.668092 14.766384 32.207138
2025-08-17 0.898728 1.435720 2.343422 4.083209 7.576721 14.890187 33.390338
2025-08-24 0.856983 1.382871 2.283282 4.036065 7.624409 15.318593 35.411312
2025-08-31 0.821506 1.338893 2.236110 4.009907 7.712412 15.845898 37.786626
2025-09-07 0.812401 1.340595 2.271254 4.147273 8.160389 17.252357 42.826179
2025-09-14 0.781991 1.302601 2.231051 4.130586 8.271263 17.878840 45.802025
2025-09-21 0.749995 1.260078 2.179881 4.087566 8.319041 18.357789 48.444913